NASCAR at Texas betting odds, props, key stats: Kevin Harvick’s slow start creates value

Everything is bigger in Texas, as well as every passing race, therefore is your advantage Joe Gibbs Racing and Team Penske drivers are creating on the contest at NASCAR’s Cup Series.
Team Penske drivers and joe Gibbs Racing have won every race so far in 2019. Kevin Harvick, the preseason favorite to win the Cup Series title, is winless on the season but is the preferred, listed at 5/1 odds at the Westgate SuperBook, to win his fourth-career race at Texas Motor Speedway on Sunday.
Harvick has top-10 finishes at the last nine races at the 1.5-mile monitor, including a pair of wins and three runner-up showings. He has five Xfinity Series wins at Texas and a Truck Series win.
“There’s so much change this year,” that the Stewart-Haas racer said in a statement concerning the new technical principles in 2019. “You have to lean on that past experience. For us, I really feel like that’s why he have had finishes the first few weeks. I really don’t think as a team we feel like our automobiles are where they must be, but that experience has resulted in decent finishes so we are able to change the things we need to when we get home.”
Texas will feature the baseline 2019 rules package with a tapered-spacer engine which can create about 550 horsepower. This weekend’s configuration was initially used this season at Las Vegas, a race won by Joey Logano.
MORE: Las Vegas practice rates As the season wears on, it will only be a matter of time until Harvick and the Stewart-Haas Racing team recover their championship art. When it happens remains to be seen, but the slow beginning has created gaming worth for Harvick not generally seen at Texas, although he is the favorite. For the 2018 spring race at Fort Worth, Harvick had 3/1 odds, and also for the 2018 fall race, he was listed at 11/4.
It is not like Ford is off to a slow start, either. The Mustang has got four poles and three wins to start the season, most recently by Brad Keselowski, who headed 446-of-500 laps to take the checkers at Martinsville.
MORE: Chances to win NASCAR Cup Series championship Odds to win 2019 O’Reilly Auto Parts 500 at Texas
Odds from Westgate LV SuperBook
Kyle BUSCH 5/2
Brad KESELOWSKI 7/2
Joey LOGANO 5/1
Kevin HARVICK 5/1
Martin TRUEX JR 7/1
Ryan BLANEY 10/1
Kyle LARSON 18/1
Denny HAMLIN 25/1
Aric ALMIROLA 30/1
Kurt BUSCH 30/1
Clint BOWYER 30/1
Erik JONES 30/1
Chase ELLIOTT 30/1
Jimmie JOHNSON 60/1
Austin DILLON 60/1
Ricky STENHOUSE JR 80/1
Daniel SUAREZ 100/1
Alex BOWMAN 100/1
William BYRON 200/1
Chris BUESCHER 300/1
Paul MENARD 200/1
Matt DIBENEDETTO 300/1
Ryan NEWMAN 300/1
Daniel HEMRIC 300/1
Ryan PREECE 500/1
Michael McDOWELL 2000/1
Ty DILLON 2000/1
Darrell WALLACE JR 2000/1
David RAGAN 5000/1
FIELD (others) 1000/1
Notable driver matchups, props for NASCAR at Texas
Kyle BUSCH – 150
Kevin HARVICK +130
Kyle LARSON – 130
Kurt BUSCH +110
Joey LOGANO – 130
Martin TRUEX JR +110
Kevin HARVICK – 130
Martin TRUEX JR +110
Brad KESELOWSKI – 130
Joey LOGANO +110
Denny HAMLIN – 110
Aric ALMIROLA – 110
To win Group A
Kyle BUSCH +220
Brad KESELOWSKI +250
Joey LOGANO +275
Kevin HARVICK +275
To win Group B
Kyle LARSON +230
Denny HAMLIN +260
Aric ALMIROLA +260
Kurt BUSCH +265
NASCAR in Texas race data Date/Time: Sunday, March 31/3:00 p.m. ET
Race Distance: 334 Laps/501 Miles
Track Shape: Oval
Track Length: 1.5 miles
Banking: 24 degrees
2018 Winner: Kyle Busch
Sunday’s race marks the fifth time Cup cars have raced over the 1.5-mile trail because it underwent its second re-pave. The track also included a drainage system on the frontstretch and backstretch, and re-profiled Turns 1 and 2 (banking reduced from 24 to 20 degrees, racing surface expanded from 60 to 80 feet wide). The track is the most like Kentucky and Las Vegas, but outcomes from Texas prior to the 2017 season shouldn’t longer be considered relevant.

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